Criminological forecasting provides knowledge about the future state, dynamics, structure and crime trends; individual criminal behavior. Such knowledge vostrebuemyh lawyers for effectively combating crime. The most promising methods of forecasting are the methods of extrapolation, modelling and expert judgement method. The success of any activity is largely determined by the reliability of the forecast future events with which it is associated. Prognostic conclusions allow to prepare in advance for these events rationally distribute the forces and means to make the best decision, to plan their activities and ultimately to fulfill the assigned tasks. Scientific development of criminological forecasting due to social needs in anticipation of anti-social phenomena for countering them. Therefore it is always important forecast in which direction the events will develop, what forces would facilitate or hinder this. All these circumstances it is important to consider when designing and implementing programs to combat crime.
criminological forecasting, dynamics, structure and trends of crime
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